Around 40% of future urban development in the Netherlands is likely to take place within vulnerable areas. The development of new houses, industrial estates and holiday homes until 2050 may affect large areas with natural, landscape or cultural values. The Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency (PBL) concluded this in the national monitor on spatial developments commissioned by the Ministry of Home Affairs and Kingdom Relations. The study is based on land-use simulations that are performed with the revised Land Use Scanner model that was developed in cooperation with SPINlab. An extensive background report documents the most recent innovations in this model.

Vulnerable areas and potential urban development by 2050 according to a trend-based scenario (source: PBL)

Vulnerable areas prone to urban development